Discover The Excitement Of Online Casino Gaming At Betandyou – Evolution Gaming (OTCPK:EVVTY) [Evo] operates an online casino for gaming operators around the world. Live Casino and Random Number Generator Casino (RNG) are two of Evo’s main areas of focus, an industry that has seen significant growth since 2016. Over the past five years, the live casino and RNG markets have grown at an annual rate of 28.2% and 8.9%, respectively. We believe potential future growth will benefit Evo’s top line. By focusing on developing and organically expanding its game portfolio through acquisitions, Evo will likely continue to see new gaming users switch to their product suite, which could drive more sales. I think international expansion (outside of Europe) will be the main driver of revenue as regulations continue to support the growth of online games in the US.

Evolution Gaming was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Evo develops marketing and licensing products, fully integrated online casino solutions for gaming operators around the world. With a strong focus on operational excellence, Evo expanded its customer portfolio to 500 gaming operators by the end of 2020 after signing deals with several US operators last year. (Examples: BetMGM (MGM), Caesars Entertainment (CZR), Wynn Interactive Sports (WYNN)). I believe Evo has the easiest revenue model due to its B2B structure. By charging live casinos and their RNGs commissions, Evo receives monthly commission checks from gaming operators based on a percentage of the casino’s total winnings.

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I believe Evo’s focus on operational excellence has been key to its past success. Their system availability is 99.87% (excluding scheduled maintenance) in 2020, which is minimal loss for operators using their platform. Evo also has a strong focus on compliance, striving to be the most trusted and transparent online casino provider. All Evo presenters and gamers receive over 100 hours of training at the Evolution Academy. Through the program, employees can develop skills such as gambling addiction, legal and money laundering awareness.

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The online casino market has grown significantly since 2016, with CAGRs of 28.2% and 8.9% for live casinos and RNGs, respectively. According to H2GC, the global online casino market will grow 23% year-on-year in 2020, reaching a year-end value of $19.8 billion. While the online casino market will account for only 20% of the total global casino market by the end of 2020, I believe this segment will continue to grow relative to brick-and-mortar casinos.

The reason I believe the online gaming industry will continue to grow is that newly controlled markets drive demand in new geographies. Evo was recently able to expand into Pennsylvania and Michigan because new regulations allow them to do so. Evo North America revenue grew from $1.3 million in 2017 to $44.9 million by the end of 2020 (226% CAGR) as it expanded in the US.

I believe the new underlying state of the North American casino market, with an estimated total revenue of $58 billion, will drive a further shift from brick-and-mortar casinos to online casinos. At the end of 2020, online casinos accounted for only 5.5% of the total North American casino industry. With little adjustment right now and the lack of licenses for the Evo in the U.S., I think the industry is gearing up for long-term expansion. Although the market has expanded over the next few years to 10% of industry revenue in 2020, this equates to $5.8 billion, or 8.5 times Evo’s 2020 revenue. With this potential change, I believe Evo has a particularly long-term growth path in the US and other international markets.

One of the ways I believe Evo will continue to capture market share in potential industries is through the development of its products.

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While Evo is developing many new games in its portfolio, acquisitions are also driving product and revenue growth. In December 2020, Evo acquired NetEnt, adding a new slots vertical to its live casino platform. Since NetEnt has a similar business model to Evo, I believe they will be able to sell different games to different customer segments and thus establish future collaborations. Evo stated that their goal in developing the NetEnt game suite was to provide the ultimate player experience. With this goal in mind, Evo has explained that they are working on some joint projects and will release multiple joint games by 2021.

By adding new games and making new advances in different game fields, I believe Evo will be able to quickly increase top revenue as demand from different customers and potential game users grows.

I believe that due to Evo’s position in the online casino industry, they will be able to generate incredible revenue, profit expansion, and margins over time.

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From 2015 to 2020, Evo’s revenue grew at an annual rate of 49%, its operating margin nearly tripled from 27.61% to 53.41%, and its net profit increased by 50%. Since Evo’s business model relies heavily on operating costs regardless of the actual value of the goods sold, they also operate on 100% gross profit. Considering the potential of market expansion and product development, it is believed that by 2025, Evo’s revenue will reach 614.61926 billion, and its net profit will reach 60%.

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Past profit metrics and free cash flow growth also look good for Evo in my view.

I think free cash flow growth has improved and is now a percentage of total revenue. I also believe that return on invested capital [ROIC] and return on equity [ROE] are historically high and stable. In 2020, the issuance of new shares was overbought by initial investors, and the paid-in capital increased significantly, which also led to an increase in the total number of shares. So margins appear to be falling sharply, but I believe margins will normalize over time as companies look for new ventures.

Using Evo’s base bear multiplier and P/E & EV/S gearbox, I created a 2025 price target based on EPS and 2025 earnings estimates.

PT based on EPS is calculated by multiplying EPS by $16.28 [EUR13.57 * 1.2x exchange rate] and multiplying the P/E ratio by 30x, 25x and 20x. Revenue-based PT is calculated by multiplying EV/S of $5.543M [EUR4.619M * 1.2x exchange rate] times 12.5x, 10.0x and 7.5x minus Net Debt – $147.25M and dividing by I of. The inventory in 2025 is expected to be 202.93 million. The % Return and CAGR columns use the current stock price of $140.25. CAGR uses n = 4.5 years.

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I believe the values ​​I use in my price target will be supported by the potential for continued revenue growth and the likelihood of further profit expansion.

While Evo’s stock price has risen significantly over the past two years, I believe the move makes sense. The stock market is currently down about 25% from the highs set in April of this year, and the current 253-day moving average can provide a good technical area, and I think it is an option to enter a position.

Online casinos are still a nascent industry, and many jurisdictions do not allow them to operate. While new regulations can open up the market and demonstrate good monetization potential for companies, they rely on this fact to continue their geographic expansion. In my view, a pause, or even a delay, in the new controlled environment could dampen growth expectations and could put a lot of pressure on today’s fast-growing businesses.

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As a young industry, the potential for new entrants is high as companies can find targets in the space. Especially when there are new operating jurisdictions for the industry, which may present opportunities for start-ups or existing players to make money. In my view, this poses unique risks because regulation is like a double-edged sword: newly regulated jurisdictions may include new entrants, and suspension or reduction of regulation may hinder growth potential.

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I believe Evo is an interesting company with a strong partner in its business. Since they are the largest online casino provider with over 500 different gaming operators operating casinos as customers, I believe they will be well protected from new entrants looking to enter the industry. Given their position in the online casino industry and the potential for future growth driven by growing international demand and further regulation, I believe Evo presents a unique investment opportunity. I think Evo is a particularly lucrative measure of high margins (and earnings) and the potential to drive growth, and that Evo could deliver significant shareholder value over time.

My investing focus is on growth stocks with reasonable valuation correlations. While my focus is on capital-intensive stocks, my investment strategy is not restricted to a specific sector or industry. Using a fundamental approach and driver evaluation, I look for potential investments that outperform the S&P 500 over the short to long term. the term. My strategy also uses short-term strategies to reposition my portfolio in an attempt to mitigate downside risk.

Analyst Disclosure: I/We have no stock options

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